Texas vs. Missouri prediction, odds, time: Week 10 college football picks from proven model

A possible College Football Playoff eliminator highlights the SEC slate for Week 10, as Austin Simmons and the Missouri Tigers host Arch Manning and the Texas Longhorns. These teams have identical 6-2 overall records; a three-defeat team will have a lot of ground to make up in CFP consideration. Seventh-ranked Texas arrives after back-to-back wins over Ole Miss and Mississippi State, while No. 18 Missouri is coming off a 34-10 win at Arkansas. Texas has ruled out running back Hollywood Smothers and offensive tackle Trevor Goosby out. Texas edge rusher Colin Simmons and receiver Cam Coleman are both questionable. Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55:

Kickoff is set for noon ET at Faurot Field in Columbia, Mo. After opening at -3, the Longhorns are 2.5-point favorites, while the over/under is 42.5 in the latest Texas vs. Missouri odds. Before making any Texas vs. Missouri picks, check out the Texas vs. Missouri predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

Texas vs. Missouri odds

Texas vs. Missouri spread

Texas -2.5

Texas vs. Missouri over/under

42.5 points

Texas vs. Missouri money line 

Texas -135, Missouri +117

Texas vs. Missouri picks

See picks at SportsLine

Texas vs. Missouri streaming 

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Top Texas vs. Missouri predictions

After simulating Texas vs. Missouri 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Over 42.5 points at betting apps and the best college football betting sites. 

The Longhorns are allowing a scant 17.1, ppg but the defense will have its hands full against a balanced Tigers attack led by QB Austin Simmons (1,952 yards, 16 TD, 2 INT) and 1,000-yard rusher Jamal Roberts. On the flip side, Arch Manning (1,727 yards, 15 TD, 7 INT) has elevated his game during this two-game win streak. Texas has plenty of injury concerns, but the Longhorns should have leading rusher Raleek Brown and leading receiver Ryan Wingo, who is listed as probable, available. 

Missouri has allowed at least 31 points in all three of its defeats, and Texas has given up 27 points in three of its last four. The computer is calling for 47 combined points as the Over is the value side 62% of the time. See the model's spread and money-line picks at SportsLine.

How to make Texas vs. Missouri picks

In addition to going Over on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Texas vs. Missouri, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's on a 80-77 run on top-rated CFB picks, and find out.

Why you should trust SportsLine's model

SportsLine's model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. It entered Week 10 on a 80-77 run on all top-rated college football picks at betting sites. 

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