Toledo vs. Sacramento State prediction, odds, time: Week 10 MACtion picks from proven model

Teams looking to continue their winning ways clash when the Toledo Rockets battle the Sacramento State Hornets in a key Mid-American Conference matchup Wednesday night on CBS Sports Network. Toledo is coming off a 45-38 win over Western Michigan on Oct. 24, while Sacramento State downed Kent State 31-10 on Friday. The Rockets (6-2, 3-1 MAC), who are tied with two other teams for third in the league, are 2-1 on the road. The Hornets (2-7, 1-5), who are 12th in the MAC, are 2-3 on their home field in 2026. Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55:

Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET at Hornet Stadium in Sacramento, Calif. This will be the first-ever meeting between the teams. The Rockets are 25.5-point favorites, with the over/under at 53.5 in the latest Toledo vs. Sacramento State odds. Toledo is 4-3 against the spread this season, while Sacramento State is 3-5 versus the line. Before making any Toledo vs. Sacramento State picks, check out the Toledo vs. Sacramento State predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model. 

Toledo vs. Sacramento State odds

Toledo vs. Sacramento State spread

Toledo -25.5

Toledo vs. Sacramento State over/under

53.5 points

Toledo vs. Sacramento State money line 

Toledo -2778, Sacramento State +1550

Toledo vs. Sacramento State picks

See picks at SportsLine

Toledo vs. Sacramento State streaming 

Claim the latest Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS to get a $25 bonus after depositing $10:

Top Toledo vs. Sacramento State predictions

After simulating Toledo vs. Sacramento State 10,000 times, SportsLine model is going Under 53.5 points at betting apps and the best college football betting sites. The Under has hit in two of the last three Toledo games. It is 6-3 in the past nine Sacramento State matchups. The Hornets are averaging 17 points per game, 12th in the MAC.

The model projects that Toledo quarterback John Alan Richter will throw for more than 260 yards and two touchdowns. He has thrown for 2,244 yards and 17 touchdowns on the season. Sacramento State running back Isaiah Ene is expected to rush for more than 50 yards and one touchdown. Ene has carried 77 times for 410 yards (5.3 average) and three touchdowns on the season.

The computer is calling for 52 combined points as the Under is the value side 52% of the time. See the model's spread and money-line picks at SportsLine.

How to make Toledo vs. Sacramento State picks

In addition to going Under on the total, the model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 70% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins Toledo vs. Sacramento State, and which side of the spread hits well over 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that's on a 80-77 run on top-rated CFB picks, and find out.

Why you should trust SportsLine's model

SportsLine's model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. It entered Week 10 on a 80-77 run on all top-rated college football picks at betting sites. Anybody following its picks on college football betting sites could have seen strong returns. 

Toledo vs. Sacramento State picks from 10,000 simulations Daniel Kohn 2 min read

NFL midseason rookie grades: Early hits, misses and surprises Ryan Wilson 17 min read

CFP rankings reaction: Notre Dame slighted, SEC's efforts succeed Brandon Marcello 6 min read

Why trading for unproven QB could stop Ravens' season from unraveling Ryan Wilson 7 min read

Biggest WNBA offseason questions: Who will be the new commissioner? Jack Maloney 10 min read

First CFP rankings: Miami on top, SEC dominates, Ohio State left out Brad Crawford 7 min read

Super Bowl bound? Bears sit at top of NFC food chain after blockbuster deal Carter Bahns 7 min read

Fantasy waivers: Three key backfields to watch amid byes, injuries, trades Jamey Eisenberg 10 min read

Week 9 picks: Packers spoil Brady's return, Burrow balls out in Madrid John Breech 17 min read

Mariners hire Cubs exec with no managerial experience as new skipper Mike Axisa 1 min read